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Last Updated:  
December 4, 2024
2 min read

Crypto Markets Daily Nov 26 2024

Bitcoin trades 5% lower on the day, pausing its relentless charge towards the key $100K figure at least for now. So too have altcoins paused their outperformance of BTC, retaining their correlation on the way down after outperforming BTC on the way up over the last week. Derivatives markets have reacted at short tenors only as of yet, with increased put buying causing a strong bearish skew rather than a fall in the implied volatility of short-tenor calls. Donald Trump revives fears of stronger tariffs after his pick for Treausry secretary dialled them back yesterday, and attention turns to the Fed as November's meeting minutes are released ahead of a toss-up decision in December's meeting.

Altcoin Season On Hold

BTC trades 5% lower on the day, after spot ETFs recorded their 3rd-worst day since launch with net outflows of $435.3M yesterday. MicroStrategy announced that it had “acquired approximately 55,500 bitcoins at an average price of approximately $97,862 per bitcoin” in a filing on Monday. This takes their total BTC holdings to nearly 2% of the supply mined so far. The pullback saw a big reaction in BTC derivatives markets – Data show that open interest for end-of November $100K calls were certainly pared back as early as last week.

Figure 1. Open interest of BTC-29NOV24-100000-C contract on Deribit, measured in number of contracts. Source: Deribit, Block Scholes

However, the impact of the pullback over the last 24H does not show up in the same open interest data as strongly, and while the move looks particularly drastic for short-term expiries, anything longer-dated than 2 weeks remains stubbornly bullish.

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