Crypto Derivatives 22nd October 2024
The positive sentiment observed last week has consolidated, with bullishness reflected across key metrics for both majors. Perpetual funding rates remain positive, implied futures yields continue to show elevated levels and an inverted term structure, and the implied volatility smiles’ skew remains strongly tilted toward calls across tenors. The upcoming election is still impacting market dynamics greatly, with implied volatility for 14-day tenor options in both ETH and BTC rising, now approaching levels seen in longer-tenor options. At the same time, volatility at the far end of the term structure continues to trend sideways, only showing a slight decrease for BTC options. Notably, 7-day tenor options saw a spike in volatility last week, now having dropped sharply and sitting lower than last week.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717a86632316941a78e181a_aaron-burden-Qy-CBKUg_X8-unsplash_large.jpg)
Futures Implied Yield, 1-Month Tenor
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330f9_6717a88643b3f9cc04902dbd_Fig1_Currency-Combined-Spot-Yields.png)
ATM Implied Volatility, 1-Month Tenor
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb10513308b_6717a892385a46591bccd141_Fig2_Currency-Combined-1M-ATM-VOL-ETH.png)
Crypto Senti-Meter Index
BTC Sentiment
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb10513308e_6717a89c89304f4be0cacc14_Fig3_btc_senti_20241022.png)
ETH Sentiment
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb105133091_6717a8a6e16fdfb6e841e4eb_Fig4_eth_senti_20241022.png)
Futures
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb105133094_6717a8ba6c9ea22eeef02e0b_Fig5_Futures%2520term%2520structure.png)
BTC Annualised Yields
The term structure remains inverted as last week, but the front end has decreased resulting in a flattened curve.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330c0_6717a8c4f9dba07881b915f5_Fig6_BTC-Spot-Yields.png)
ETH Annualised Yields
ETH's futures yield term structure has disinverted and re-inverted over the past week, returning to a similar state as last week.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330c3_6717a8c9f379ee0080307532_Fig7_ETH-Spot-Yields.png)
Perpetual Swap Funding Rates
BTC Funding Rate
BTC’s perpetual funding rate has fluctuated at positive levels over the past week.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb105133097_6717a8d4917fd1888cf69531_Fig8_BTC_USDC%2520Perpetual.png)
ETH Funding Rate
ETH’s perpetual swap funding rate is exhibiting positive sentiment similarly to BTC’s.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb10513309a_6717a8de655e7fd059fc6d62_Fig9_ETH_USDC%2520Perpetual.png)
BTC Options
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb10513309d_6717a95495f344e79a4c6499_Fig10_BTC%2520SVI%2520Vol%2520term%2520structure.png)
BTC SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Volatility continues to rise at the front end of the term structure, with 14-day tenor options showing elevated levels.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330c6_6717a96f7953541c753a75a8_Fig11_deribit%2520BTC%2520SVI%2520ATM%2520volatility.png)
BTC 25-Delta Risk Reversal
Option smiles have maintained a strong skew towards calls, with the skew increasing slightly compared to last week.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330c9_6717a988140f34123e8169a7_Fig12_Single%2520Tenor%2520Deribit%2520BTC%2520SVI%2520PC%2520skew.png)
ETH Options
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae25fbe6cbb1051330a2_6717a9d3df3b308245e285d0_Fig13_ETH%2520SVI%2520Vol%2520term%2520structure.png)
ETH SVI ATM Implied Volatility
Implied volatility for ETH 14-day tenor options has risen, mirroring the increase seen in BTC ahead of the US election.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330cc_6717a9e0548ed731c3e9b815_Fig14_deribit%2520ETH%2520SVI%2520ATM%2520volatility.png)
ETH 25-Delta Risk Reversal
ETH’s implied volatility smiles are still exhibiting a strong call-skew across tenors.
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb10513312e_6717a9e76adb5216ec44bb83_Fig15_Single%2520Tenor%2520deribit%2520SVI%2520PC%2520skew.png)
Volatility by Exchange
BTC, 1-Month Tenor, SVI Calibration
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330ea_6717aa603cd8900d660af6a3_Fig16_Exchange_comparison_BTC_ATM_Vol.png)
ETH, 1-Month Tenor, SVI Calibration
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330cf_6717aa6903edbcc653e288f4_Fig17_Exchange_comparison_ETH_ATM_Vol.png)
Put-Call Skew by Exchange
BTC, 1-Month Tenor, 25-Delta SVI Calibration
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330f0_6717aa77fc9e184b3233ae4e_Fig18_Exchange%2520Comparison%2520Put-Call%2520Skew%2520BTC.png)
ETH, 1-Month Tenor, 25-Delta SVI Calibration
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330ed_6717aa81e16fdfb6e843bebc_Fig19_Exchange%2520Comparison%2520Put-Call%2520Skew%2520ETH.png)
Market Composite Volatility Surface
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330d8_6717aa97180b22f0ae4cc6c0_Fig20_v2composite_snap_BTC_SMILES.moneyness.png)
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330fc_6717aa9f3036091af5836c6d_Fig21_v2composite_snap_ETH_SMILES.moneyness.png)
Listed Expiry Volatility Smiles
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330d2_6717aaad140f34123e826bf4_Fig22_BTC%2520BTC-29NOV24%2520Listed%2520Expiry.png)
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330f3_6717aab45f8731a1fca8af32_Fig23_ETH%2520ETH-29NOV24%2520Listed%2520Expiry.png)
Cross-Exchange Volatility Smiles
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb105133102_6717aabdffd6a5420e873c34_Fig24_Exchange_comparison_BTC_SMILES.moneyness.png)
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330d5_6717aac581a0c7dcde4f58e7_Fig25_Exchange_comparison_ETH_SMILES.moneyness.png)
Constant Maturity Volatility Smiles
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330f6_6717aacd5f92fbb8ab6c3ee9_Fig26_BTC-SVI%2520Constant%2520Maturity.png)
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/6717ae26fbe6cbb1051330ff_6717aad43036091af5839217_Fig27_ETH-SVI%2520Constant%2520Maturity.png)
![](https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/65ae566e4e9b439983ededa5/66be1f73c7c1b86216be5955_photo_bw.png)
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Crypto Derivatives 17th September 2024
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives September 11th
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Crypto Derivatives 10th September 2024
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives September 4th
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Crypto Derivatives 3rd September 2024
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives August 28th
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives August 22nd
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Crypto Derivatives 20th August 24
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives August 14th
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Crypto Derivatives 13th August 24
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Bybit x Block Scholes: The Bitcoin Rally May Not Yet Be Over
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives August 6th
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Crypto Derivatives 6th August 24
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SOFA Structured Products: EARN & SURGE
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives 19th July
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Crypto Derivatives 23rd July 24
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Crypto Derivatives 16th July 24
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Block Scholes x Bybit Crypto Derivatives 12th July
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Crypto Derivatives 9th July 24
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Crypto Derivatives 2nd July 24
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Crypto Derivatives 25th June 24
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DeFi Analytics 19th June 24
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Crypto Derivatives 18th June 24
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DeFi Analytics 12th June 24
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Crypto Derivatives 11th June 24
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Crypto Derivatives 4th June 24
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Crypto Senti-Meter: A Derivatives Sentiment Index
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Crypto Derivatives 28th May 24
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Ethereum’s New Gas Market Paradigm
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Crypto Derivatives 21st May 24
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Crypto Derivatives 14th May 24
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Crypto Derivatives 7th May 24
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